Statball

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Houston Astros
4
100% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
3
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 8 H, 0 ERangers · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Danny Jansen strikes out swinging.
bot 9Justin Foscue grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 9Evan Carter strikes out swinging.
top 9Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
top 9Gavin Collyer intentionally walks Yordan Alvarez. Jeremy Peña to 2nd.
top 9Jeremy Peña singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Haggerty.
top 9Christian Vázquez strikes out swinging.
top 9Brice Matthews walks.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
12 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 3-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Taylor Trammell 2-3 · Brice Matthews 1-3
Texas Rangers
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Joc Pederson 3-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Josh Jung 1-4 · Brandon Nimmo 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.