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New York Yankees
4
100% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
2
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 9 H, 1 ERangers · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ezequiel Duran grounds into a force out, shortstop José Caballero to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Alejandro Osuna out at 2nd.
bot 9Alejandro Osuna singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Jake Burger scores. Josh Smith to 2nd.42
bot 9Josh Smith reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jake Burger to 3rd.
bot 9Kyle Higashioka strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jake Burger singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr.
top 9Ben Rice grounds out to first baseman Jake Burger.
top 9Trent Grisham flies out to left fielder Ezequiel Duran.
top 9José Caballero hit by pitch.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Aaron Judge 3-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ben Rice 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Texas Rangers
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Joc Pederson 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jake Burger 1-3 · Alejandro Osuna 1-1, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.