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Pittsburgh Pirates
8
100% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
4
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 9 H, 0 ERangers · 7 H, 2 E
0%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kyle Higashioka strikes out swinging.
bot 9Evan Carter flies out to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
bot 9Josh Jung called out on strikes.
top 9Bryan Reynolds flies out to right fielder Brandon Nimmo.
top 9Brandon Lowe called out on strikes.
top 9Oneil Cruz homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Billy Cook scores. Jake Mangum scores.84
top 9Jake Mangum reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Josh Jung. Nick Gonzales scores. Billy Cook to 2nd.54
top 9Konnor Griffin called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Oneil Cruz 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 2-4 · Bryan Reynolds 2-5, 1 RBI
Texas Rangers
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Jung 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Evan Carter 1-4 · Jake Burger 1-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.