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Pittsburgh Pirates
1
0% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
5
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789123
Pirates · 6 H, 0 ERangers · 8 H, 2 E
100%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jake Mangum flies out to left fielder Ezequiel Duran.
top 9Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to center fielder Evan Carter.
top 9Nick Yorke grounds out, third baseman Josh Jung to first baseman Jake Burger.
top 9Marcell Ozuna pops out to second baseman Josh Smith.
bot 8Brandon Nimmo called out on strikes.
bot 8Josh Smith strikes out swinging.
bot 8Danny Jansen doubles (4) on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
bot 8Evan Carter grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Mangum 2-4 · Nick Gonzales 2-4 · Oneil Cruz 1-4
Texas Rangers
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Evan Carter 1-3, 1 RBI · Jake Burger 1-4 · Joc Pederson 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.