Statball

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Seattle Mariners
0
0% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
3
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893
Mariners · 2 H, 1 ERangers · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Julio Rodríguez flies out to right fielder Brandon Nimmo.
top 9Cal Raleigh flies out to left fielder Wyatt Langford.
top 9Luke Raley strikes out swinging.
top 9Cole Young singles on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo.
bot 8Jake Burger strikes out swinging.
bot 8Corey Seager strikes out swinging.
bot 8Wyatt Langford grounds out, first baseman Connor Joe to pitcher Gabe Speier.
top 8Connor Joe grounds out, third baseman Ezequiel Duran to first baseman Jake Burger.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 1-3 · Mitch Garver 1-3 · Randy Arozarena 0-3
Texas Rangers
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Nimmo 2-4 · Josh Smith 2-3 · Ezequiel Duran 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.