Statball

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Seattle Mariners
2
0% — our call
Final
Texas Rangers
3
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityTexas Rangers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rangers in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789113
Mariners · 8 H, 1 ERangers · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Rangers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rangers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Umpire reviewed (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Brendan Donovan grounds out softly, catcher Kyle Higashioka to first baseman Jake Burger.
top 9Cole Young flies out to center fielder Evan Carter.
top 9Dominic Canzone flies out to left fielder Wyatt Langford.
top 9J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to center fielder Evan Carter. Luke Raley to 2nd.
top 9Luke Raley singles on a ground ball to left fielder Wyatt Langford.
bot 8Brandon Nimmo grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Ezequiel Duran strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Josh Smith flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Brendan Donovan 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luke Raley 2-4 · Cole Young 1-4
Texas Rangers
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Higashioka 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Evan Carter 1-3, 1 RBI · Wyatt Langford 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.