Statball

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Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
5
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789141
Sox · 6 H, 0 ERays · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jarren Duran grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Ryan Vilade.
top 9Caleb Durbin singles on a fly ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9Nick Sogard pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
top 9Trevor Story homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–5
top 9Adley Rutschman called out on strikes.
bot 8Jonny DeLuca called out on strikes.
bot 8Junior Caminero grounds out softly, pitcher Tyron Guerrero to first baseman Nick Sogard.
top 8Jahmai Jones strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trevor Story 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Roman Anthony 2-4 · Caleb Durbin 2-4
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Mesa Jr. 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Chandler Simpson 1-3, 2 RBI · Jonny DeLuca 1-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.