Statball

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Houston Astros
2
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
3
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891121
Astros · 5 H, 0 ERays · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Taylor Trammell flies out sharply to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr.
top 9Cam Smith flies out to shortstop Jorge Mateo.
top 9Christian Walker grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Chandler Simpson grounds out, pitcher Bryan King to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8Victor Mesa Jr. walks. Jonathan Aranda to 3rd. Ryan Vilade to 2nd.
bot 8Ryan Vilade walks.
bot 8Junior Caminero grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8Jonathan Aranda walks.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yainer Diaz 3-4, 1 RBI · Jose Altuve 1-3
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Richie Palacios 1-2, 2 RBI · Chandler Simpson 1-4 · Jonny DeLuca 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.