Statball

← All live games · Tropicana Field

Houston Astros
4
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
14
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 4 H, 1 ERays · 15 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nick Allen pops out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda in foul territory.
top 9Taylor Trammell grounds out sharply, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Jorge Barrosa to 3rd.
top 9Cam Smith pops out to second baseman Richie Palacios.
top 9Jorge Barrosa doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr.
bot 8Jonny DeLuca pops out softly to pitcher Ronel Blanco.
bot 8Chandler Simpson pops out to third baseman Isaac Paredes.
bot 8Victor Mesa Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 8LaMonte Wade Jr. grounds out, shortstop Nick Madrigal to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nick Allen 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nelson Velázquez 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Richie Palacios 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Nick Fortes 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.