Statball

← All live games · Tropicana Field

New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
6
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111131
Mets · 3 H, 1 ERays · 14 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9A.J. Ewing strikes out swinging.
top 9Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 9Marcus Semien grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Ryan Vilade.
bot 8Junior Caminero pops out to shortstop Francisco Lindor.
bot 8Ryan Vilade singles on a ground ball to pitcher Jefry Yan. Victor Mesa Jr. scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd.2–6
bot 8Yandy Díaz strikes out swinging.
bot 8Taylor Walls doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jared Young. Victor Mesa Jr. to 3rd.
bot 8Victor Mesa Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jared Young.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Bo Bichette 1-4 · Carson Benge 1-4
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan Vilade 3-5, 2 RBI · Victor Mesa Jr. 3-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.