Statball

← All live games · Tropicana Field

Houston Astros
1
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
3
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 9 H, 0 ERays · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Junior Caminero homers (40) on a fly ball to left center field. Jonny DeLuca scores.1–3
bot 9Jonathan Aranda doubles (24) on a fly ball to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 9Yandy Díaz strikes out swinging.
top 9Cam Smith strikes out swinging.
top 9Christian Walker lines out to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr.
top 9Daulton Varsho pops out to third baseman Junior Caminero.
bot 8Jorge Mateo grounds into a double play, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker. Richie Palacios out at 2nd. Jorge Mateo out at 1st.
bot 8Richie Palacios walks.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yainer Diaz 2-3, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-4 · Nick Allen 1-3
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Mesa Jr. 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Junior Caminero 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Richie Palacios 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.