Statball

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New York Mets
10
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
4
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 14 H, 1 ERays · 7 H, 2 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Taylor Walls pops out to shortstop Francisco Lindor.
bot 9Richie Palacios grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Jared Young.
bot 9Jonny DeLuca called out on strikes.
top 9Francisco Lindor grounds out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Luis Torrens walks. Nick Morabito to 2nd.
top 9Nick Morabito singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.
top 9A.J. Ewing pops out to catcher Liam Hicks in foul territory.
top 9Marcus Semien flies out to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Juan Soto 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-4 · Carson Benge 2-4
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Richie Palacios 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Chandler Simpson 2-4 · Taylor Walls 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.