Statball

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New York Mets
3
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
2
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 10 H, 0 ERays · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Yandy Díaz called out on strikes.
bot 9Taylor Walls flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
bot 9Richie Palacios grounds into a force out, second baseman Marcus Semien to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Jonny DeLuca out at 2nd. Richie Palacios to 1st.
bot 9Jonny DeLuca walks.
top 9Juan Soto strikes out swinging.
top 9A.J. Ewing singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Cristian Pache to 2nd.
top 9Marcus Semien lines out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9Cristian Pache singles on a line drive to right fielder Jonny DeLuca.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Mark Vientos 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · A.J. Ewing 2-4 · Bo Bichette 1-4
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 2-4, 1 RBI · Liam Hicks 2-4, 1 RBI · Taylor Walls 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.