Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
6
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
7
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 14 H, 1 ERays · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Leody Taveras strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jonny DeLuca.
top 9Gunnar Henderson grounds out, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Coby Mayo pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
bot 8Jonathan Aranda strikes out swinging.
bot 8Yandy Díaz strikes out swinging.
bot 8Taylor Walls pops out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
bot 8Richie Palacios walks.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Pete Alonso 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Coby Mayo 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jorge Mateo 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan Vilade 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.