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Baltimore Orioles
4
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
3
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 9 H, 1 ERays · 11 H, 1 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Richie Palacios strikes out swinging.
bot 10Cedric Mullins strikes out swinging.
bot 10Jonny DeLuca walks.
bot 10Chandler Simpson lines out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
top 10Christian Encarnacion-Strand strikes out swinging.
top 10Bryan Baker intentionally walks Gunnar Henderson.
top 10Dylan Beavers called out on strikes.
top 10Jackson Holliday out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Tyler O'Neill to 3rd. Pete Alonso to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Christian Encarnacion-Strand 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Leody Taveras 2-4, 1 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 3-5 · Chandler Simpson 2-5 · Yandy Díaz 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.