Statball

← All live games · Tropicana Field

Baltimore Orioles
6
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
5
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891122113
Orioles · 12 H, 0 ERays · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ryan Vilade flies out sharply to center fielder Leody Taveras.
bot 9Cam Sanders intentionally walks Liam Hicks.
bot 9Junior Caminero grounds out, third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand to first baseman Pete Alonso. Jorge Mateo scores.65
bot 9Chandler Simpson walks. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.
bot 9Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Richie Palacios scores. Taylor Walls scores.64
bot 9Yandy Díaz strikes out swinging.
bot 9Taylor Walls singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Richie Palacios to 2nd.
bot 9Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 4-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Colton Cowser 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dylan Beavers 2-2, 2 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Richie Palacios 2-4, 1 RBI · Taylor Walls 1-3 · Chandler Simpson 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.