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Chicago White Sox
9
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
1
0% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 9 H, 2 ERays · 11 H, 2 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jonathan Aranda grounds out, first baseman Miguel Vargas to pitcher Duncan Davitt.
bot 9Richie Palacios strikes out swinging.
bot 9Nick Fortes doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci.
bot 9Cedric Mullins pops out to first baseman Miguel Vargas in foul territory.
bot 9Ben Williamson homers (3) on a line drive to left field.91
top 9Colson Montgomery strikes out swinging.
top 9Miguel Vargas homers (24) on a fly ball to left center field. Luisangel Acuña scores.90
top 9Munetaka Murakami doubles (10) on a line drive to right fielder Jonny DeLuca.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Everson Pereira 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Andrew Benintendi 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Miguel Vargas 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 3-3 · Ben Williamson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan Vilade 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.