Statball

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Seattle Mariners
8
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
2
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 9 H, 0 ERays · 4 H, 2 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Hunter Feduccia strikes out swinging.
bot 9Richie Palacios walks.
bot 9Taylor Walls flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
bot 9Victor Mesa Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Mitch Garver lines out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
top 9Josh Naylor walks. J.P. Crawford to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.
top 9Cal Raleigh walks.
top 9Randy Arozarena strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Weston Wilson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Randy Arozarena 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · J.P. Crawford 3-4, 3 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Yandy Díaz 2-4 · Hunter Feduccia 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.