Statball

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Cleveland Guardians
3
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
11
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 7 H, 1 ERays · 15 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Petey Halpin grounds out, shortstop Ben Williamson to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Austin Hedges homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Gabriel Arias scores.311
top 9Gabriel Arias singles on a soft ground ball to shortstop Ben Williamson, deflected by third baseman Junior Caminero.
top 9Travis Bazzana flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9David Fry grounds out, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Ben Williamson lines out to right fielder Angel Martínez.
bot 8Richie Palacios homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Cedric Mullins scores. Jonny DeLuca scores.111
bot 8Chandler Simpson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Petey Halpin. Jonathan Aranda scores.18

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Hedges 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brayan Rocchio 2-4, 1 RBI · Gabriel Arias 2-4
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Fortes 4-4, 2 RBI · Richie Palacios 1-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ryan Vilade 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.