Statball

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Seattle Mariners
1
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
6
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 6 H, 1 ERays · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Colt Emerson flies out to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.
top 9Miles Mastrobuoni lines out to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.
top 9Cole Young lines out to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.
bot 8Yandy Díaz grounds out, third baseman J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Nick Fortes singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Michael Rucker. Ben Williamson scores. Nick Fortes to 2nd. Nick Fortes advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by pitcher Michael Rucker.16
bot 8Richie Palacios grounds out, shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Josh Naylor. Ben Williamson to 2nd.
bot 8Ben Williamson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Robles.
bot 8Chandler Simpson flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 1-4 · Victor Robles 1-2 · Cole Young 1-4
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Williamson 4-4, 1 RBI · Ryan Vilade 1-1, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jonathan Aranda 3-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.