Statball

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New York Yankees
12
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
4
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678961311121
Yankees · 14 H, 0 ERays · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Junior Caminero grounds into a force out, shortstop José Caballero to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jonathan Aranda out at 2nd.
bot 9Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Max Schuemann.
bot 9Richie Palacios grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Cody Bellinger.
bot 9Nick Fortes grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Cody Bellinger.
top 9Austin Wells flies out to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.
top 9Ryan McMahon flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9Max Schuemann flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
bot 8Taylor Walls strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Austin Wells 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Max Schuemann 2-4
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Junior Caminero 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Chandler Simpson 2-4 · Jonathan Aranda 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.