Statball

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Seattle Mariners
2
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
7
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 5 H, 0 ERays · 14 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Josh Naylor grounds out, pitcher Kevin Kelly to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Cal Raleigh lines out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
top 9Dominic Canzone grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Junior Caminero grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Cole Young. Jonathan Aranda out at 2nd.
bot 8Jonathan Aranda singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
bot 8Yandy Díaz lines out to right fielder Luke Raley.
bot 8Hunter Feduccia flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 8Randy Arozarena strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · J.P. Crawford 2-4 · Josh Naylor 1-3
Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Mesa Jr. 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Junior Caminero 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Richie Palacios 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.