Statball

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New York Yankees
4
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
6
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893124
Yankees · 11 H, 0 ERays · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Trent Grisham strikes out swinging.
top 9Ali Sánchez singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
top 9Jasson Domínguez grounds out, second baseman Ben Williamson to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. flies out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
bot 8Ben Williamson called out on strikes.
bot 8Taylor Walls strikes out swinging.
bot 8Victor Mesa Jr. pops out softly to catcher Ali Sánchez in foul territory.
top 8José Caballero strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ali Sánchez 2-3, 1 RBI · Max Schuemann 1-2
Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Victor Mesa Jr. 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Hunter Feduccia 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.