Statball

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New York Yankees
5
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
1
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 3 H, 0 ERays · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cedric Mullins flies out to center fielder Trent Grisham.
bot 9Junior Caminero strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Jonathan Aranda lines out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Jasson Domínguez flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9Cody Bellinger strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt strikes out swinging.
top 9Ben Rice homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field.51
bot 8Yandy Díaz pops out to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 51 batters faced over the last two days
José Caballero 2-3, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Ben Rice 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan McMahon 0-3
Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Richie Palacios 2-3, 1 RBI · Chandler Simpson 1-3 · Jonny DeLuca 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.