Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
1
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
5
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 5 H, 0 ERays · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ildemaro Vargas pops out to second baseman Ben Williamson.
top 9Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.
top 9Pavin Smith flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson in foul territory.
top 9Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
bot 8Ben Williamson flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll in foul territory.
bot 8Cedric Mullins strikes out swinging.
bot 8Chandler Simpson doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
top 8Gabriel Moreno strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Ketel Marte 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Adrian Del Castillo 1-3 · Geraldo Perdomo 1-3
Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Junior Caminero 3-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ben Williamson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cedric Mullins 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.