Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
2
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
4
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 7 H, 0 ERays · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Adrian Del Castillo pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
top 9Gabriel Moreno grounds out, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Corbin Carroll grounds out, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Pitcher Taylor Clarke picks off Cedric Mullins at 1st on throw to first baseman LuJames Groover.
bot 8Cedric Mullins singles on a line drive to center fielder Tommy Troy.
bot 8Chandler Simpson grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman LuJames Groover.
bot 8Victor Mesa Jr. grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman LuJames Groover.
top 8Geraldo Perdomo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Geraldo Perdomo out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. to shortstop Taylor Walls.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 6 batters faced over the last two days
Ketel Marte 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Geraldo Perdomo 3-4 · Nolan Arenado 1-3
Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Junior Caminero 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Victor Mesa Jr. 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.