Statball

← All live games · Tropicana Field

Kansas City Royals
2
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
13
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789223215
Royals · 1 H, 0 ERays · 15 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jac Caglianone strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Loftin flies out to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr.
top 9Carter Jensen homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Starling Marte scores.213
top 9Tyler Tolbert strikes out swinging.
top 9Starling Marte walks.
bot 8Chandler Simpson grounds into a force out, third baseman Nick Loftin to shortstop Josh Rojas. Richie Palacios out at 2nd.
bot 8Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to right fielder Starling Marte.
bot 8Junior Caminero homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Fortes scores. Jonathan Aranda scores.013

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tyler Tolbert 0-3 · Josh Rojas 0-3
Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Junior Caminero 3-5, 3 HR, 6 RBI · Jonathan Aranda 3-5, 1 RBI · Victor Mesa Jr. 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.