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Kansas City Royals
12
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
5
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 14 H, 0 ERays · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Richie Palacios flies out to left fielder John Rave.
bot 9Junior Caminero singles on a ground ball to left fielder John Rave. Jonathan Aranda scores. Cedric Mullins to 3rd.125
bot 9Cedric Mullins singles on a line drive to left fielder John Rave. Taylor Walls scores. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.124
bot 9Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kameron Misner. Chandler Simpson scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd.123
bot 9Victor Mesa Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 9Hunter Feduccia called out on strikes.
bot 9Taylor Walls singles on a line drive to center fielder Kameron Misner. Chandler Simpson to 2nd.
bot 9Chandler Simpson walks.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Jac Caglianone 3-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Nick Loftin 4-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tyler Tolbert 2-3
Tampa Bay Rays
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Junior Caminero 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jonathan Aranda 2-5, 1 RBI · Taylor Walls 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.