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Kansas City Royals
2
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
1
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 4 H, 0 ERays · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Chandler Simpson grounds out, first baseman Jac Caglianone to pitcher Alex Lange.
bot 9Junior Caminero flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Lane Thomas grounds out sharply, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Ryan Vilade.
top 9Michael Massey flies out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
top 9Salvador Perez grounds out, shortstop Ben Williamson to first baseman Ryan Vilade.
bot 8Victor Mesa Jr. caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Carter Jensen to second baseman Michael Massey.
bot 8Jonathan Aranda walks.
bot 8Cedric Mullins strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 1-4, 1 RBI · Nick Loftin 1-3 · Maikel Garcia 1-4
Tampa Bay Rays
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 2-4 · Richie Palacios 1-3 · Ryan Vilade 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.