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Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
5
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892132
Royals · 7 H, 1 ERays · 10 H, 2 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nick Loftin lines out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9Carter Jensen strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Josh Rojas homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.35
top 9Kameron Misner strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jonny DeLuca grounds into a force out, third baseman Nick Loftin to second baseman Michael Massey. Yandy Díaz out at 2nd.
bot 8Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to shortstop Tyler Tolbert, deflected by third baseman Nick Loftin. Chandler Simpson to 3rd.
bot 8Nick Fortes flies out to center fielder Kameron Misner.
bot 8Chandler Simpson walks.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Rojas 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Michael Massey 2-4 · Carter Jensen 1-4
Tampa Bay Rays
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 4-5, 1 RBI · Jonathan Aranda 2-4, 1 RBI · Taylor Walls 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.