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Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
5
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 6 H, 0 ERays · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Keibert Ruiz grounds out, first baseman Jonathan Aranda to pitcher Bryan Baker.
top 9CJ Abrams flies out to right fielder Jonny DeLuca.
top 9Dylan Crews strikes out swinging.
bot 8Chandler Simpson grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Curtis Mead.
bot 8Cedric Mullins lines out to center fielder Jacob Young.
bot 8Junior Caminero strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jonny DeLuca homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.25
top 8Curtis Mead grounds out softly, pitcher Garrett Cleavinger to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Luis García Jr. 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · CJ Abrams 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 1-3
Tampa Bay Rays
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Jonny DeLuca 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jonathan Aranda 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Yandy Díaz 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.