Statball

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Washington Nationals
4
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
3
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 10 H, 0 ERays · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ben Williamson called out on strikes.
bot 9Clayton Beeter intentionally walks Junior Caminero.
bot 9Cedric Mullins strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jonathan Aranda flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
bot 9Yandy Díaz singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Curtis Mead. Taylor Walls scores.43
bot 9Taylor Walls walks.
top 9James Wood pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
top 9Keibert Ruiz reaches on a fielder's choice out, third baseman Junior Caminero to catcher Nick Fortes. Jorbit Vivas out at home. Nasim Nuñez to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Crews 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · CJ Abrams 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 2-4, 1 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Junior Caminero 3-3, 1 RBI · Chandler Simpson 2-4, 1 RBI · Yandy Díaz 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.