Statball

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Washington Nationals
3
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
4
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 6 H, 0 ERays · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9José Tena strikes out swinging.
top 9Dylan Crews strikes out swinging.
top 9Daylen Lile singles on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
bot 8Taylor Walls flies out to right fielder James Wood.
bot 8Nick Fortes grounds out, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Luis García Jr. Chandler Simpson to 2nd.
bot 8Chandler Simpson singles on a ground ball to shortstop CJ Abrams, deflected by third baseman Curtis Mead.
bot 8Ben Williamson flies out to right fielder James Wood.
top 8CJ Abrams grounds out sharply, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 51 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 2-3 · Dylan Crews 1-4, 1 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Jonny DeLuca 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan Vilade 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Chandler Simpson 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.