Statball

← All live games · Tropicana Field

Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
3
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 4 H, 0 ERays · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Mickey Gasper grounds out, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Willson Contreras strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Wilyer Abreu singles on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr.
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela grounds out, third baseman Ben Williamson to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Richie Palacios strikes out swinging.
bot 8Yandy Díaz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Taylor Walls scores.13
bot 8Cedric Mullins walks.
bot 8Nick Fortes grounds out, pitcher Danny Coulombe to first baseman Willson Contreras. Taylor Walls to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
11 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Marcelo Mayer 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 1-4 · Mickey Gasper 1-4
Tampa Bay Rays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan Vilade 1-2 · Jonathan Aranda 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.