Statball

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Detroit Tigers
7
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
2
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 13 H, 0 ERays · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Richie Palacios flies out to center fielder Matt Vierling.
bot 9Yandy Díaz strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jonathan Aranda grounds out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Riley Greene strikes out swinging.
top 9Kerry Carpenter out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Gleyber Torres scores. Kevin McGonigle to 3rd.72
top 9Dillon Dingler lines out to third baseman Junior Caminero.
top 9Kevin McGonigle doubles (13) on a line drive to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Gleyber Torres to 3rd.
top 9Gleyber Torres singles on a ground ball to second baseman Richie Palacios.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Rogers 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dillon Dingler 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Gleyber Torres 3-5
Tampa Bay Rays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 51 batters faced over the last two days
Cedric Mullins 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Fortes 1-3 · Yandy Díaz 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.