Statball

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Detroit Tigers
10
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
9
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 14 H, 1 ERays · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Victor Mesa Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ryan Vilade strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Junior Caminero grounds out sharply, second baseman Hao-Yu Lee to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Hao-Yu Lee pops out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda in foul territory.
top 9Wenceel Pérez strikes out swinging.
top 9Jahmai Jones walks.
top 9Spencer Torkelson flies out to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr.
bot 8Richie Palacios flies out to center fielder Wenceel Pérez.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
11 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Dillon Dingler 4-5, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Riley Greene 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Kerry Carpenter 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan Vilade 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Yandy Díaz 3-5 · Junior Caminero 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.