Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
3
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
5
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 9 H, 0 ERays · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Adley Rutschman grounds out, third baseman Oliver Dunn to first baseman Ryan Vilade.
top 9Gunnar Henderson grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Ryan Vilade.
top 9Taylor Ward lines out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
bot 8Jonny DeLuca lines out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
bot 8Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Jonathan Aranda scores. Ryan Vilade to 3rd.34
bot 8Ryan Vilade walks.
bot 8Jonathan Aranda doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Chandler Simpson scores. Oliver Dunn scores.33
bot 8Junior Caminero singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Chandler Simpson to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pete Alonso 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 3-5
Tampa Bay Rays
6 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Hunter Feduccia 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Junior Caminero 2-4 · Richie Palacios 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.