Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
1
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
4
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 4 H, 0 ERays · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Pete Alonso strikes out swinging.
top 9Adley Rutschman flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9Gunnar Henderson flies out sharply to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
bot 8Cedric Mullins strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jonny DeLuca singles on a fly ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Richie Palacios scores.14
bot 8Richie Palacios doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Colton Cowser. Carson Williams scores. Richie Palacios to 3rd.13
bot 8Yandy Díaz hit by pitch.
bot 8Jonathan Aranda flies out sharply to center fielder Leody Taveras.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Ward 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-4 · Adley Rutschman 1-4
Tampa Bay Rays
6 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Richie Palacios 1-3, 1 RBI · Chandler Simpson 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.