Statball

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Miami Marlins
3
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
6
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789211311
Marlins · 11 H, 1 ERays · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Otto Lopez pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
top 9Liam Hicks grounds into a force out, second baseman Richie Palacios to shortstop Taylor Walls. Joe Mack out at 2nd. Liam Hicks to 1st.
top 9Xavier Edwards lines out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9Joe Mack singles on a line drive to right fielder Jonny DeLuca.
bot 8Taylor Walls grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Liam Hicks.
bot 8Nick Fortes pops out to shortstop Otto Lopez.
bot 8Cedric Mullins flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 8Heriberto Hernández lines out to shortstop Taylor Walls.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 2-3 · Xavier Edwards 2-5, 1 RBI · Otto Lopez 2-4, 1 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 49 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Junior Caminero 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jonny DeLuca 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.