Statball

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Miami Marlins
2
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
7
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 7 H, 0 ERays · 11 H, 2 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Owen Caissie flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9Jakob Marsee grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Connor Norby grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Nick Fortes pops out softly to first baseman Christopher Morel in foul territory.
bot 8Cedric Mullins singles on a ground ball to second baseman Xavier Edwards, deflected by first baseman Christopher Morel.
bot 8Ben Williamson strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jonny DeLuca strikes out swinging.
top 8Kyle Stowers lines out sharply to second baseman Richie Palacios.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Connor Norby 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 2-4
Tampa Bay Rays
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Cedric Mullins 4-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yandy Díaz 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Richie Palacios 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.