Statball

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San Francisco Giants
1
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
2
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 6 H, 1 ERays · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Jonathan Aranda singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Chandler Simpson scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd.12
bot 10Caleb Kilian intentionally walks Junior Caminero.
top 10Eric Haase grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Ryan Vilade.
top 10Drew Gilbert pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
top 10Jung Hoo Lee flies out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
bot 9Chandler Simpson flies out to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
bot 9Taylor Walls pops out to third baseman Matt Chapman.
bot 9Hunter Feduccia singles on a fly ball to shortstop Willy Adames.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Casey Schmitt 2-4, 1 RBI · Heliot Ramos 1-4 · Rafael Devers 1-3
Tampa Bay Rays
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 4-5, 1 RBI · Hunter Feduccia 1-1 · Nick Fortes 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.