Statball

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Minnesota Twins
1
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
6
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 5 H, 0 ERays · 8 H, 3 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brooks Lee flies out to right fielder Jonny DeLuca.
top 9Royce Lewis singles on a fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Luke Keaschall scores.16
top 9Matt Wallner grounds out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.
top 9Luke Keaschall hit by pitch.
top 9Victor Caratini strikes out swinging.
bot 8Cedric Mullins grounds out to first baseman Victor Caratini.
bot 8Ben Williamson doubles (5) on a fly ball to left fielder Austin Martin. Yandy Díaz scores.06
bot 8Jonny DeLuca strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Byron Buxton 2-4 · Ryan Jeffers 1-4 · Royce Lewis 1-4, 1 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Fraley 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ben Williamson 3-4, 2 RBI · Jonny DeLuca 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.