Statball

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Minnesota Twins
2
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
4
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 5 H, 1 ERays · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9James Outman grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Royce Lewis strikes out swinging.
top 9Matt Wallner grounds out, first baseman Jonathan Aranda to pitcher Bryan Baker.
bot 8Cedric Mullins lines out to center fielder James Outman.
bot 8Ben Williamson called out on strikes.
bot 8Jake Fraley doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner.
bot 8Yandy Díaz grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Kody Clemens.
top 8Luke Keaschall called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Brooks Lee 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kody Clemens 1-4 · Ryan Jeffers 1-3
Tampa Bay Rays
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 3-4 · Yandy Díaz 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Taylor Walls 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.