Statball

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Minnesota Twins
2
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
6
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 9 H, 0 ERays · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Trevor Larnach grounds out, first baseman Jonathan Aranda to pitcher Bryan Baker.
top 9Byron Buxton strikes out swinging.
top 9Tristan Gray grounds out softly, pitcher Bryan Baker to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Brooks Lee doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Matt Wallner to 3rd.
top 9Matt Wallner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jonny DeLuca.
top 9Royce Lewis homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.26
bot 8Ben Williamson called out on strikes.
bot 8Cedric Mullins strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Brooks Lee 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Royce Lewis 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kody Clemens 1-4
Tampa Bay Rays
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 3 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Junior Caminero 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Jonny DeLuca 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.