Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
1
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
6
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 5 H, 1 ERays · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
top 9Eugenio Suárez grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Sal Stewart grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Nick Fortes grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8Chandler Simpson grounds out, pitcher Brock Burke to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8Ben Williamson lines out to right fielder Will Benson.
top 8Elly De La Cruz flies out sharply to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.
top 8Matt McLain strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 1-4 · Nathaniel Lowe 1-4 · Matt McLain 1-4
Tampa Bay Rays
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 3-4, 1 RBI · Junior Caminero 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan Vilade 2-2, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.