Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
6
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
1
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 10 H, 0 ERays · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Chandler Simpson lines out to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 9Taylor Walls walks. Jake Fraley to 3rd. Richie Palacios to 2nd.
bot 9Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to left fielder TJ Friedl. Jake Fraley to 2nd.
bot 9Nick Fortes pops out to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 9Cedric Mullins flies out to left fielder TJ Friedl.
bot 9Jake Fraley walks.
top 9Matt McLain pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
top 9TJ Friedl flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Matt McLain 2-5 · Elly De La Cruz 1-4, 1 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 55 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 2-5 · Richie Palacios 1-4 · Jake Fraley 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.