Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
12
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
6
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 10 H, 0 ERays · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ryan Vilade flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.
bot 9Jonny DeLuca doubles (4) on a pop up to first baseman Sal Stewart. Junior Caminero scores. Jonathan Aranda scores. Ben Williamson to 3rd.126
bot 9Ben Williamson walks. Chandler Simpson scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.124
bot 9Jonathan Aranda walks. Richie Palacios scores. Chandler Simpson to 3rd. Junior Caminero to 2nd.123
bot 9Junior Caminero walks. Richie Palacios to 3rd. Chandler Simpson to 2nd.
bot 9Chandler Simpson walks.
bot 9Taylor Walls called out on strikes.
bot 9Hunter Feduccia strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 3-6, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Dane Myers 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ke'Bryan Hayes 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Tampa Bay Rays
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Junior Caminero 2-4 · Ryan Vilade 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.