Statball

← All live games · Tropicana Field

New York Yankees
3
0% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
5
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921212
Yankees · 5 H, 1 ERays · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Trent Grisham pops out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Randal Grichuk strikes out swinging.
top 9Amed Rosario singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Giancarlo Stanton to 2nd.
top 9Giancarlo Stanton singles on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
bot 8Jonathan Aranda lines out to third baseman Amed Rosario.
bot 8Junior Caminero walks.
bot 8Chandler Simpson grounds into a force out, shortstop José Caballero to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Nick Fortes out at 2nd. Chandler Simpson to 1st.
bot 8Nick Fortes singles on a line drive to center fielder Cody Bellinger.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Amed Rosario 2-4, 1 RBI · Aaron Judge 1-4
Tampa Bay Rays
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nick Fortes 2-4 · Taylor Walls 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.