Statball

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Chicago Cubs
9
100% — our call
Final
Tampa Bay Rays
2
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityTampa Bay Rays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rays in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 16 H, 0 ERays · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Rays win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rays win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Taylor Walls grounds out sharply, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 9Richie Palacios strikes out swinging.
bot 9Nick Fortes pops out to catcher Miguel Amaya.
bot 9Cedric Mullins walks.
top 9Matt Shaw flies out to right fielder Ryan Vilade.
top 9Michael Conforto singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9Dansby Swanson flies out sharply to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
top 9Moisés Ballesteros homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.92

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Moisés Ballesteros 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Alex Bregman 3-5
Tampa Bay Rays
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 2-4 · Jonathan Aranda 2-4, 1 RBI · Richie Palacios 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.