Statball

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Washington Nationals
3
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
5
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 7 H, 1 ECardinals · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Keibert Ruiz grounds out to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Daylen Lile pops out to shortstop Masyn Winn.
top 9Dylan Crews lines out sharply to left fielder Victor Scott II.
bot 8Thomas Saggese grounds out, shortstop Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Abimelec Ortiz.
bot 8Leo Bernal homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Jordan Walker scores.3–5
bot 8Jordan Walker walks.
bot 8Alec Burleson grounds out, third baseman Jorbit Vivas to first baseman Abimelec Ortiz.
bot 8Iván Herrera homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brady House 2-2 · Daylen Lile 2-4
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Iván Herrera 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Leo Bernal 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · José Fermín 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.